SETH D. KAPLAN
Israel’s long-term challenge requires strategy beyond military power in Iran rivalry - opinion
Beyond embassies: Israel can deepen regional cooperation without recognition - opinion
You can’t topple Iran without fighting the IRGC - opinion
Israel, US can’t bomb regime change, only defections and credible alternatives can - opinion
The opposition remains fragmented, though efforts by groups like the Iran Freedom Congress and figures such as Reza Pahlavi point toward a possible unifying framework – one that remains incomplete.
Iran's Islamic regime will not fall without a suitable alternative - opinion
Authoritarian regimes collapse only when citizens, elites, and enough members of the security forces believe that an alternative political order is both desirable and within reach.
Airstrikes won’t topple Iran’s regime – Israel strategy must focus on political change - opinion
Despite its existential stake, Israel has no coherent political strategy for increasing the likelihood of regime change.
Israel’s delicate role in Iran’s moment of fragility - opinion
Iran’s regime is weakening. Israel must act with patience and discretion, supporting change without overtly interfering in Tehran.